French president says future security architecture of Europe could no longer be settled by the US and Russia
The European Union has to make bold decisions to defend Ukraine, pre-empting any US decision to withhold or reduce its military support, Emmanuel Macron has said.
In a speech in Sweden, which hopes to be the next country to join Nato, the French president also said the future security architecture of Europe, including arms control agreements covering European territory, could no longer be settled simply by the US and Russia, and Europe had to have a right to determine its own future.
His remarks were designed as a warning to Europe that it needs to ramp up its whole defence effort and prepare for the possibility that either Joe Biden will be unable to push his military assistance budget for Ukraine through Congress, or that later in the year he is defeated in a presidential election by an isolationist Donald Trump.
But Macron also argued that if Europe did step up, and helped to prevent a Russian victory, the US through Nato could no longer have a monopoly in determining future relations with Moscow.
It’s a nice sentiment. But not sure how likely it’s going to be short term (increasing defence spending is not that popular and Orban still exists) and long term with the increasing popularity of far-right parties in the EU.
It honestly doesn’t require that much extra spending. Total US aid throughout the two years of the conflict so far has been roughly equivalent to a year and a half of Germany’s military spending. Covering that amount between the entire EU would be a single-digit percentage increase on defence spending