Don’t do it. Seriously. They’ll take the minerals and after a few years when Russia attacks again they’ll go “peace out bro, it was good while it lasted, not really our problem since we have this big and beautiful ocean separating us, thoughts and prayers” and abandon the place.
Better do it through Europe (harder but better in the long run) and collectively secure a more lasting and strong peace by way of actual deterrence and sharing of common interests. Europe won’t ever say “we don’t need to help you since we don’t need to”.
Ukraine’s security is Europe’s security, and it understands that.
So if there’s no security guarantees here, why are they signing this? I understand that this would let American capital flow into these ventures in Ukraine, but I doubt only American firms want to mine those resources. I’d imagine they can get a better deal if they shop around. Smells like a grift by some in Ukraine’s top brass.
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Aha, so what they’re getting is some form of continued weapons delivery. Do you know if they’re getting all the weapons they need? Rory Stewart says US would be stopping the deliveries of some of the important missile systems. I haven’t checked that independently.
