I’d love to see this as a trend for 2024 but the international anti-democracy propaganda ecosystem that gets ramped up for major US elections every two years doesn’t get ramped up for one-off special elections. By the time November of 2024 rolls around there will have been a months long tsunami of bullshit overflowing with stories of migrant caravans, crime waves, open borders, and the Democratic Party having satanic furry orgies with underage chimeras. And the credulous, semi-functioning smooth brains will believe it all and go vote for the GOP like they’re told.
Historically these types of special elections go Republican because their base votes more reliably in off year, non presidential elections. The fact that they have been going Dem is a good sign for high turnout in the next election. The Repubs always vote, the Dems just need to show up.
I’d love to see this as a trend for 2024 but the international anti-democracy propaganda ecosystem that gets ramped up for major US elections every two years doesn’t get ramped up for one-off special elections. By the time November of 2024 rolls around there will have been a months long tsunami of bullshit overflowing with stories of migrant caravans, crime waves, open borders, and the Democratic Party having satanic furry orgies with underage chimeras. And the credulous, semi-functioning smooth brains will believe it all and go vote for the GOP like they’re told.
Historically these types of special elections go Republican because their base votes more reliably in off year, non presidential elections. The fact that they have been going Dem is a good sign for high turnout in the next election. The Repubs always vote, the Dems just need to show up.