How so? I thought we were past the worst of it. Certainly unlikely to see heatwaves as severe as they were a month or two ago and we have finally had a decent amount of rain for the few plants still alive. My garden is slowly returning to green, although it also means weeds are returning so I probably need to clear them at some point. Free compost.
No, this is incorrect. El Niño weakens Atlantic Hurricanes and strengthens Pacific Hurricanes/Typhoons. We’re in peak hurricane season right now for the Atlantic and we’re only up to E named storms, and there’s only one right now. This is going to be an extraordinarily calm hurricane season.
Under status quo conditions yes, but we have passed beyond the point where the status quo pattern matching descriptions we have had about climatic swings are becoming less and less relevant as the system changes.
It will probably be a relatively calm hurricane season, but we really don’t know anymore just look at sea surface temperatures, we aren’t in the same regime anymore, the oceans are fundamentally changed at a general level in terms of heat exchange and weather interaction.
One of the least appreciated parts about Climate Change is how the increase in chaos makes some of our prior pattern matching/predictive capacity obsolete and irrelevant because the systems physically become more chaotic and swingey.
This year is going to be fucked up.
How so? I thought we were past the worst of it. Certainly unlikely to see heatwaves as severe as they were a month or two ago and we have finally had a decent amount of rain for the few plants still alive. My garden is slowly returning to green, although it also means weeds are returning so I probably need to clear them at some point. Free compost.
hurricanes are also alot stronger under higher temps too, floridians can ignore global warming all they want, they wont have a state soon.
No, this is incorrect. El Niño weakens Atlantic Hurricanes and strengthens Pacific Hurricanes/Typhoons. We’re in peak hurricane season right now for the Atlantic and we’re only up to E named storms, and there’s only one right now. This is going to be an extraordinarily calm hurricane season.
Under status quo conditions yes, but we have passed beyond the point where the status quo pattern matching descriptions we have had about climatic swings are becoming less and less relevant as the system changes.
It will probably be a relatively calm hurricane season, but we really don’t know anymore just look at sea surface temperatures, we aren’t in the same regime anymore, the oceans are fundamentally changed at a general level in terms of heat exchange and weather interaction.
One of the least appreciated parts about Climate Change is how the increase in chaos makes some of our prior pattern matching/predictive capacity obsolete and irrelevant because the systems physically become more chaotic and swingey.