TOP had the problem that all new parties did, that no one wants to waste their vote so they wouldn’t vote for a party polling at 2% since they need 5% to get into parliament.
Suddenly a poll comes at the right time having them close to 5%, now people can see them actually getting in, so more people would answer the “if an election was held today, who would you vote for” question in their favour since it appears they may actually get in.
Meh, they’ll be going with Labour, so it doesn’t really matter about those two. What I’d really like to see is a Labour - green - TOP coalition, with TPM excluded.
is that climbing at ~2% per week? at that rate they may pass 20%
[edit]
Looks like opportunity and the greens are really eating into labour’s numbers
TOP had the problem that all new parties did, that no one wants to waste their vote so they wouldn’t vote for a party polling at 2% since they need 5% to get into parliament.
Suddenly a poll comes at the right time having them close to 5%, now people can see them actually getting in, so more people would answer the “if an election was held today, who would you vote for” question in their favour since it appears they may actually get in.
If just looking at the last Roy Morgan poll, labour and green are the same.
Mostly the votes came from NZF and TPM. Act also up a bit… Which is less good.
It would be amazing if they got more votes than the Green party.
It would be better if they got more than Act and NZF.
Meh, they’ll be going with Labour, so it doesn’t really matter about those two. What I’d really like to see is a Labour - green - TOP coalition, with TPM excluded.
Current polling suggests that is unlikely.
Currently looking like a 4 party coalition is required.