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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 19th, 2023

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  • The extent to which the industry part of the military industrial complex has been hollowed out and replaced with nothing but grift is pretty astounding. I can’t imagine the US could hope to fight a real multi-year war like Vietnam or Korea ever again. It kind of seems like if your military could survive the initial “shock and awe” campaign now, then you could just kind of hold the line while the US helplessly bleeds out.


  • I really admire what China has accomplished. There’s definitely room to debate some of their decisions, but I suspect that if the USSR had managed to make the US economy completely reliant on it for manufacturing, it would still exist today. The EU economies are in the shitter and the US is barely staying afloat even with increasingly brazen imperialist theft, not to mention how the US is running out of munitions trying to supply the first “real” war it’s seen in decades and it hasn’t even deployed its own military (yet?).

    I used to be looking forward to the future where China would completely overtake the US as the dominant world power, but it really looks like that already happened years ago and the decrepit NATO empires just haven’t figured it out yet.


  • Overall, Kusti Salm, a senior Estonian defense ministry official, estimated that Russia’s current ammunition production is seven times greater than that of the West.

    Russia’s production costs are also far lower than the West’s, in part because Moscow is sacrificing safety and quality in its effort to build weapons more cheaply, Mr. Salm said. For instance, it costs a Western country $5,000 to $6,000 to make a 155-millimeter artillery round, whereas it costs Russia about $600 to produce a comparable 152-millimeter artillery shell, he said.

    A US-based media article is claiming that Russia can produce seven times the ammunition at something like one tenth the per-unit cost. That’s insane if true. I knew Russia was putting up big production numbers, but that big? If that’s even close to correct then the idea that the AFU could ever push Russia out by force is utterly delusional now.





  • For whatever it’s worth, I don’t think this going to lead to escalation to nuclear war, at least within the next several months.

    Russia is in a strong position right now, the Ukrainian offensive is a total failure going into winter, political support for continued arms shipments is cracking, and US election season is ramping up.

    If Ukraine does try to use these missiles against targets in Russia, and more importantly and more unlikely if any of those attempts succeed at bypassing missile defenses and actually hitting valuable targets, I think Russia would be foolish to try to retaliate against any NATO or US targets outside Ukraine. The consequences of any such strikes would only jeopardize what’s currently looking like kind of an inevitable victory for Russia.


  • Yeah, I think I understand why war is profitable, but a lot of Marxist discourse I see seems to imply that the wars will inevitably increase in frequency and intensity. Indeed, some seem to believe that global thermonuclear war is inevitable if capitalism and imperialism is allowed to continue to its logical conclusion. This is the part I’m more hazy on. Unfortunately Marx and Lenin both lived in a pre-WWII world before nuclear weapons and before the full impacts of climate change were known, so I’m not aware of them addressing the possibility of capitalism driving humanity completely extinct before socialism could achieve victory.





  • I find it interesting that every time NATO wants to send another wonder weapon to Ukraine, they announce it months in advance. Hell, it seems like Ukraine’s military itself doesn’t do much without it being public knowledge weeks to months in advance. Seems like a terrible way to conduct a war. Does it just simply not matter because Russia has drone-powered eyes on the entire battlefield such that any attempt at surprise is wasted anyway? Is NATO just smart enough to self-sabotage a bit and warn Russia about what it’s doing to try to minimize the risk of things boiler over into a nuclear exchange? Is it because nobody actually wants to risk doing anything that could bring an end to a highly profitable war?