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Cake day: 2023年6月26日

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  • I can’t speak for the modeling regarding the amount of rain, but I’m was published in college for watershed analysis and now work in municipal development and review drainage plans.

    When use LIDAR to update watershed maps and can estimate the amount of water rise that will occur at a specific location with a specific amount of rainfall. One thing that makes predictions in central Texas is the heavy development and vast difference in development standards.

    Some municipalities are very strict, and only allow 15%-25% impervious cover, while others don’t care. And with tree coverage it’s hard to tell from serials if the ground is sod, mud, gravel, or concrete.

    More importantly, many local jurisdictions don’t require rainwater detention, and counties typically don’t have the resources to inspect stuff installed without their knowledge outdlside of cities, so as development increases runoff into the watershed increases, as there’s less pervious cover and what cover remains is more quickly saturated. Also, the grading of land and removal of vegetation leads to less friction, speeding up runoff. If upstream water is flowing faster, then the water rises higher and faster.





  • The primary voters in New York City just selected a leftist. The establishment is passed, but he’s their nominee.

    You know why Bernie didn’t get nominated? Because he lost the primaries. It wasn’t swung by superdelegates. They didn’t fix the vote. Yeah, they clearly preferred the corporate dems, but all the “interefering” they did was getting the party establishment (that had been selected through primaries) to push for their preferred candidate.

    Trump wasn’t an establishment Republican until he won the primaries, and then the establishment who opposed him was primaried. He transformed the party in just a few years by getting his base to show up and vote in primaries.

    The left needs to learn from that.






  • Unless you have an older machine, probably the Coke guy.

    Coke wants to control what drinks are in the machine and what percentage of the take Coke gets, so they refill the machines.

    We used to have an older machine on an old contract, and since we didn’t really care about the income from it we let Coke swap it for a new one they’d service.

    About 2 months later, they said we weren’t selling enough drinks and took the new machine away.




  • The big deductions that hurt was removing deductions for items people bought for work. The idea is that the employer should be providing that stuff, but that’s not always realistic.

    Without a doctor’s note, lots of businesses aren’t going to buy an employee an ergonomic chair because it costs 10 times as much as the Amazon special. They also aren’t going to buy you a wardrobe of business suits that you’ll only use for meetings. Being able to write that stuff off was huge for some of us.

    I had to convince my side gig (teaching scuba and underwater photography) to change me from employee to contractor because I suddenly couldn’t write off my gear.



  • When the major party candidates include a literal fascist building concentration camps and sending people to torture prisons without due process and a wildly imperfect opposition party candidate, you for against the literal fascist.

    People who chose not to vote for Harris because they weren’t “excited” to vote for her chose not to stand in the way of Trump, and they are responsible for him winning the election.

    If you didn’t vote for Harris, you have blood on your hands and should be losing sleep over it.