• 7 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • LLMs are designed to fool humans into thinking something is realistic rather than actually doing something useful.

    So closer to average human intelligence than it would appear. I don’t know why people keep insisting that confidently making things up and repeating things blindly is somehow distinct from the average human intelligence.

    But more seriously, this whole mindset is based on a stagnation in development that I’m just not seeing. I think it was Stanford recently released a paper on a new architecture they developed that has serious promise.

    How so? Project managers have been working for decades to quantify code, and haven’t managed to make any progress at it.

    I think you misunderstand me. The metric is the code. We can look at the code, see what kind of mistakes it’s making, and then alter the model to try to be better. That is an iterative process.

    The year 30,000 AD doesn’t count.

    Sure. Maybe it’s 30,000AD. Maybe it’s next month. We don’t know when the breakthrough that kicks off massive improvement is going to hit, or even what it will be. Every new development could be the big one.



  • As I said elsewhere, the AI probably isn’t going to just be an LLM. It’s probably gonna be a complex model that uses modules like LLMs to fulfill a compound task. But the exact architecture doesn’t matter.

    We know that it can output code, which means we have a quantifiable metric to make it better at coding, and thousands of people are certainly trying. AI video was hot garbage 18 months ago, now it’s basically perfect.

    It’s not if we’re going to get a decent coding AI, it’s when.


  • Populations have inertia, it takes time to shift millions of people. These protests started centuries ago. They’re happening more frequently, on a larger scale. That’s undeniable progress.

    Protests take time to coordinate and build interest. If you have them too frequently then people don’t show up as much, and the crowds get smaller, and then they’re just this thing that’s happening. A little time between let’s the anticipation build up and then it becomes an event.

    This is a perfectly fine frequency for trying to coordinate millions of people. Yelling about how we need to rush it isn’t going to make it go any faster.






  • … what? First, how could you possibly “experience” that? Are you recording every single attendee and then going to every single organization and informal collection of people doing mutual aid and organizing to check to see who shows up? That’s literally impossible on multiple levels. At best you could say that about the people you personally know.

    Secondly, even it’s true, even if only 1% of people do anything meaningful afterwards, 1% of millions is tens of thousands of people organizing and activating their communities.