ontologically impaired

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Joined 9 months ago
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Cake day: August 1st, 2025

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  • Depends. Signal is the strongest competitor within that niche, but overall both will only grow if they capture marker share from WhatsApp; which is perfectly feasible as they are in principle perfectly viable substitute products and it’s mostly the monopolistic pressures of WhatsApp’s preexisting user base. In my personal experiences, Signal, Threema, Matrix, etc. see use within relatively closed bubbles (i.e. I moved my family over to signal, or a work project team uses Element for Matrix, etc.). But more and more people you run into in Germany already have a second messenger that is not owned by Meta in their phone and I would hence expect that WhatsApp’s market share will drop over the next few years. Signal imo has the lead here as it works with phone numbers too, so you don’t need to know someone else’s handle





  • Let’s appreciate what this means for the global order.

    Russia has proactively attacked Ukraine. Now the US has attacked Venezuela. If China ever needed a permissive international environment to attack Taiwan, this attack was a major step in this direction.

    We are quickly sliding back to a world of great powers, where might makes right and hence smaller countries will be bullied into submission without any concerted opposition by what remains of the ‘international community’.

    If the US gets away with this, the same is going to happen to Panama in the not too distant futute and to Greenland soon after.

    Unless Russia is burned out after the Uktain war, they might try their hand at the Baltics.

    Should Russia collapse, China might integrate some of the Siberian regions.

    And so on.

    I wonder how this all will end.