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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 6th, 2023

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  • I mean that would be at least partially more true if it were a sequence of bets and results but in this case it’s a single bet which will take forever to resolve so all of that analysis is useless. I’m sorry it just is.

    What betting markets give is a sentiment of who people (who bet) think will win, which is something, but it’s different from predicting who will actually win. Humans are crap at predicting shit, especially humans that bet and especially humans that bet in political outcomes.

    A huge portion of bets are very biased because of political “teams” and beliefs. If people suck at betting in sports events I would argue they suck even more at betting at political events where their identify and beliefs and even more at play.

    Polling already gives you flawed data, betting markets even more so.




  • Because our collective we is composed of many different people. You have brilliant scientific minds and genius artistic people and everyone in between. At the same time you have very empathetic people and others who would not hesitate to hurt someone for their gain.

    Diversity is both a blessing and a curse.


  • As other folk said, definitely do get the DLCs. There’s a whole other game in there.

    It’s been a while since I last played, and this game IS a masterpiece, no doubt about that, but the one of the first sections can be rough. Iirc it’s gloomy af, there’s some hard monsters in some quests that can be demotivating and the combat/mechanics takes some getting used to which makes the previous point worse. Just know that the game opens up and there’s a whole world out there.

    There are tons of side quests which are great, so you should do those but also don’t feel like you need to do all of them. It can be easy to get side tracked and then lose steam and quit on the main story.

    Especially because like I said the DLCs are amazing. They are also quite self contained so it’s like a breath of fresh air

    Enjoy this amazing game. I’m jealous of you







  • The electoral college favors Republicans but the narrative that “no one really votes for Republicans” is fucking bullshit

    Yes, they tend to lose the popular vote but even then % wise, it’s way closer than it should be.

    The way you phrase it, makes it seem like they are a fringe group that through cheating manages to win even if they only have half as many votes as the Democrats.

    They are popular even with, or perhaps actually because of, all of the racism, sexism and fascist tendencies. Do not downplay that.