• Zedstrian@sopuli.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    32
    ·
    1 day ago

    Median Strategies was created as a short term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification

    AKA attempting to swing an election.

    • gAlienLifeform@lemmy.worldOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      10
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      1 day ago

      Was it even? Like to be totally clear I think everyone involved with this was/is fucking scum who did damage to everyone’s faith in democracy and willingness to trust anything they read, but I really can’t figure out their actual goal here. One of the people they showed winning was on the left and lost, another person they showed inflated numbers for was a centrist and ultimately got the most votes, so it’s all over the map ideologically speaking.

      My best guess at this point is that this was actually an attempt to manipulate betting markets and profit off of that, but this whole thing needs a bunch of subpoenas before we’ll have any clue why they did this.

      The one thing I will say with confidence at this point is that everyone involved in this was fucking scum and they need to be named and shamed so they can’t ever abuse public trust like this again, so I hope there’s more reporting on this.

      • SaltySalamander@fedia.io
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        7 hours ago

        My best guess at this point is that this was actually an attempt to manipulate betting markets and profit off of that

        This is legit the first place my mind went when reading the headline. This should open them up to lawsuits.

      • arotrios@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        1 day ago

        It was to undermine Raman, the progressive, to push Bass as the centrist. It’s part of a larger effort to cast progressive policies as unpopular. You can tell by the enormous (and obviously fake) margin they gave Bass.

        Looks like it gets worse. They refuse to name the company directors, they’ve done the same thing in Wisconsin and Nevada, and they just shut down yesterday:

        Median Strategies was a company which initially described itself as a pollster, and later as a “short term social experiment”.[1][2] In August 2026, it released the purported results of public opinion polls for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election and the 2026 gubernatorial elections in Wisconsin and Nevada, and then a few days later retracted all of its releases, stating “[a]ll previously published polling releases have been withdrawn and should not be cited or treated as genuine polling data”.[1][2][3]

        The company acknowledged to reporters that the data was false, and following its admission, declared on August 17, 2026 that it was shutting down.[1][2] In a written statement, the company said “Median Strategies was created as a short term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification”,[1][2] but contemporaneous reporting did not indicate whether this sequence of events was the company’s plan all along, or whether any survey research had ever been conducted by the company.

        Even before the company’s admission, several polling aggregators had refused to include Median Strategies’ purported results because they were released without basic and standard information needed for vetting polls (like the identities of the firm’s directors), and Median Strategies did not respond to requests for that information.[3] The entities responsible for Median Strategies remained unknown in the aftermath of the revelation.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_Strategies

        • chunk6235@piefed.social
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          8 hours ago

          Median Strategies was created as a short term social experiment to examine how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification

          I really hope the “It’s just a prank bro” defense does not work

      • Zedstrian@sopuli.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        edit-2
        16 hours ago

        By showing the leftist as being in the lead, they might have convinced leftist voters that their votes weren’t needed to secure the election of their preferred candidate.

        • breakfastmtn@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          1 day ago

          Cuts both ways though. It could have also discouraged voters further to the right from voting because it was a lost cause.

        • zikzak025@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          1 day ago

          And also the inverse, that centrist people afraid of a progressive winning would feel more pressured to come out and vote.

        • kesslerpartyatmyplace@anarchist.nexus
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          1 day ago

          The left are generally willing to do stuff with less assurance of success. The right tend to not have imagination and don’t like taking the chance of association with a loser. Liberals in particular among right wing ideologies are totally demoralized by not having already won.