Computer models have been accurately predicting climate change for 50 years | A research scientist found that many 1970s-era models were ‘pretty much spot-on.’ Today’s models are far more advanced.

silence7@slrpnk.net · 3 months ago

Computer models have been accurately predicting climate change for 50 years | A research scientist found that many 1970s-era models were ‘pretty much spot-on.’ Today’s models are far more advanced.

Pistcow@lemm.ee · 3 months ago

How spot on are we talking?

For example, a few weeks ago, the forecaster for Seattle predicted Armageddon, and we got a 3 minute lightning storm instead. On a slow news day they’ll talk about how they have all this new tech and multiple overlapping copper stations that they’ve never had before but they’re seldom correct beyond it is or isn’t going ot rain. Sooooo much more tech and not any better than when they had a wind sock outside the building.

Soooo we talking about global temperature raises year over year or what?

🇨🇦 tunetardis@lemmy.ca · edit-2 3 months ago

Climatology and meteorology are separate disciplines with their own very different modelling. I studied the former way back when, and it wasn’t even in the same department at my university (geography vs physics). Climatology is about long-term trends and focuses more on energy fluxes, general circulation patterns (both in the atmosphere and oceans), the hydrological cycle, the carbon cycle, etc. Meteorology is about the near-term. It focuses on the fluid and thermodynamics of specific weather systems, and how to process/interpret real-time data.