The Trump administration lifted its suspension of military aid and intelligence sharing for Ukraine, and Kyiv signaled that it was open to a 30-day ceasefire in the war with Russia, pending Moscow’s agreement, American and Ukrainian officials said Tuesday following talks in Saudi Arabia.

  • bluGill@fedia.io
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    2 days ago

    Ukraine is building up their military capacity. They will continue to work on better drones. They will continue to train their soldiers. Their EU allies (and others around the world) are likely to continue upping their military spending and research. The longer the cease fire the better it is for Ukraine, so long as the above two do not change.

    • Tuukka R@sopuli.xyzM
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      1 day ago

      Then again, there’s always the risk of the ceasefire becoming permanent. That would de facto mean Ukraine losing this war. The front would become a de facto international border, with the Russia gaining a huge land grab. That would enable Putin to advertise himself as the victor in this war, which would enable the Russia to make another offensive in some 5 years from now.

      If the sanctions against the Russia are not relieved, then its economy will probably crash quite soon anyway, at which point the Russia will probably leave the Ukrainian territory – if you need to let go of your pride in order to start fixing your economy, then even if first they choose to retain their pride, eventually they’ll let go of it and go with sensible action instead.

      It looks like Putin is not going to want a ceasefire now, because he fears the next attack might not turn out feasible for some reason. But for Ukraine a permanent ceasefire would be a catastrophe because it would with a high likelihood end with Ukraine not existing by 2035.