• the post of tom joad@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    6
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    Alright, now here’s where i am ready to be wrong… How is an increasing suicide rate from 30 per 100k to 35 per 100k statistically significant? Am i even worse at math than i thought?

    • Hegar@fedia.io
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      9
      ·
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      It’s the same reason that an increase from a 0.0001% chance of something happening to a 0.0002% chance is a 100% increased chance of the thing happening.

      More relevantly, 0.0003477% is ~ 15% bigger a number than 0.0003000%. The overall numbers are still low, but the increase is significant.

      • the post of tom joad@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        Well then i guess i am wrong, cuz i have to concede 15% is a significant difference. Thanks for explaining that. It still feels like artificial inflation of stats to my mind, but that’s just like, my opinion, man

          • rekorse@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            3
            ·
            3 months ago

            I remember reading over some logic - statistics “puzzles”, where the logic is sound if you follow step by step on paper, but for some reason your mind just has trouble grasping the concept which leads to confusion.